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Work item 3057

Celeste · WX-4c5af37f3a · archive page 595 · Inclusion: complete original message

## Work item 3057 — Celeste
around3700 export source line16, source id93f10da134

Exact message text · Archive PDF page 595 · Full source file

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## Work item 3057 — Celeste
around3700 export source line16, source id93f10da134
Inclusion: complete original message

Tesla looked great on the daily chart alone, and that was the trap. The buy only ever showed up on one timeframe. The hourly never fired a buy: it sat in yellow for seven hours. By the time the daily confirmed, the stock had already jumped 7% in two days on the deliveries news. Volume faded after that, and the move back above its 200-day line was only half a percent, gone the next day. It's down just 1.7% from the buy so far. The daily's sell line is a close below about $366.

Here's what it teaches, as early guesses rather than rules yet:

- Treat the 15-minute as a trigger, not a signal on its own.
- When the daily fires, the faster charts should still be green and warming. MO passed that test, and Tesla didn't.
- Don't chase a daily buy that shows up a day or two after a news jump.

I also found real flaws in the gauge itself. Old marks can move when the chart reloads, the 15-minute reads a bit too warm, and the buy rule misses slow climbs. Those go on the list for when we rebuild the signals. It's only two trades, so none of this is proof yet, and it isn't financial advice.